What a Biden-Warren ticket might be like
Joe Biden speaks with Elizabeth Warren about once a week. They review the latest developments on the COVID-19 crisis and the collapsing economy. They trade ideas about how a Democratic president, like Biden, might rescue the country. They exchange tales about their lives sheltered in place, he in Wilmington, Delaware, and she in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Biden and Warren are members of the same generation, Democrats shaped by modest upbringings who became U.S. senators and candidates for their party’s presidential nomination. But with Biden now actively considering Warren to be his running mate, it’s their ideological differences — and whether they can build a complementary, productive relationship — that will ultimately determine whether she emerges as No. 2 on the ticket.
Their recent conversations have become a critical quest to find common ground and measure whether they have moved beyond their policy disputes of the past 20 years. Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, is a political moderate, a former vice president and a deal-maker who believes in the bipartisan promise of Washington. Warren is a liberal from Massachusetts, a former Harvard Law School professor as likely to throw a bomb as to shake a hand in Congress, who has clashed with Biden on issues ranging from bankruptcy law to the future of Obamacare.
Should Biden select Warren, the Democratic ticket would be a marriage of contrasting policy ideas and governing philosophies unlike any seen since Jimmy Carter, the moderate governor of Georgia, chose Walter Mondale, the liberal senator from Minnesota, in 1976. And some Democrats are arguing that might be precisely what Biden needs as he tries to unseat President Donald Trump — particularly at a moment when the country’s deep economic despair could demand bold action of the type Warren pushed for during her candidacy.
“Having a good team means you should have people who are not the same on everything,” said Harry Reid of Nevada, the former Senate Democratic leader, who is close to Biden and Warren and who has stayed publicly neutral in the process of choosing a running mate. “The fact that they are ideologically different is a plus, not a minus.”
Biden has not said when he will announce his decision. But Warren and two other female senators who also competed for the party’s nomination, Kamala Harris of California and Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, are at the top of Biden’s list, according to Democrats close to the selection process.
Warren has not made a secret of her interest in the position, sending signals even before she formally dropped out of the presidential race in February. She answered “yes” without hesitation when Rachel Maddow asked her on MSNBC in April if she would accept the offer. And she has been calling former President Barack Obama to make clear her eagerness to do what she can to help Biden.
Biden, aides said, admires Warren’s intelligence and her command of domestic policy, particularly economic issues. He thinks she would be a political asset in a campaign, given the passion of her supporters and an ideological resume that might reassure more liberal Democratic voters who remain skeptical of Biden’s record of moderation and conciliation.
But the very qualities that made Warren such a strong force in Congress and on the campaign trail — her independence, her critical thinking and her reputation as a tough fighter — have raised concern among some Democrats, including some in Obama’s circle, about whether she would be the loyal lieutenant that Biden was for the former president.
“Biden is not going to pick somebody unless he’s got 100% confidence that they’re on the program; that is so key to this,” said David Plouffe, who was Obama’s senior adviser in the White House. “That person down the hall can’t have any other agenda but to make your administration a success. Biden was that for us.”
Plouffe said he was confident Warren would meet that test.
Reid said Warren, as a senator, was independent but not defiant. “As liberal as she is, she never once created a problem for me in the caucus,” he said.
In a sign of Warren’s willingness to demonstrate flexibility, an aide said that if asked to do so, whether or not she was on the ticket, she would drop her opposition to high-dollar fundraising, which she made a calling card of her campaign last year. She has also moved closer in line with Biden on health care, saying that the first priority should be strengthening the program passed under Obama. For his part, Biden embraced Warren’s call to forgive student debt for low- and middle-income families.
This week, in a chummy display posted on Twitter by Biden’s campaign, Warren made a joint appearance with the former vice president online to call supporters.
Over the course of nearly 20 years, the relationship between these two high-profile Democratic leaders has been marked by battles and détente. They faced off when Biden championed an overhaul of bankruptcy rules in the Senate in the early 2000s. She accused him of being too protective of his home state’s banking industry with a law that would disproportionately hurt women.
Their differences were evident in this presidential campaign as well. Biden dismissed Warren’s pledge to provide universal health insurance, pressing her to provide details on how she would pay for it.
And it is not only their ideological differences: The two have different styles in their approach to government. That was on display when the two served in the Obama White House and Warren, as a special adviser to Obama, pressed for the creation of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
“Vice President Biden spent many years in the Senate and is very attuned to what can be done and where the votes are,” said Richard A. Cordray, who served as the first director of the bureau. “Elizabeth is someone who is willing to stretch the existing process and see what more can be done with it. I think Senator Biden may have learned about that from seeing her in action.”
This would not be the first time Biden considered Warren as a running mate. In 2015, the two had lunch at the Naval Observatory, the vice-presidential residence in Washington, where he suggested he would like her to be his running mate if he entered the presidential race. Associates said that Warren was excited by the prospect, but Biden ended up not running.
When Hillary Clinton became the Democratic nominee that year, Warren’s name re-emerged as a potential vice president. Adam Jentleson, a senior adviser to Reid, drafted a memo with arguments that the senator, who supported Warren as the best choice, could make in her favor — arguments that her supporters echo today.
“Choosing Warren would unify the party and be seen as a bold stroke of leadership,” Jentleson wrote at the time. “Warren can attack Trump more effectively than anyone, freeing Clinton to rise above the fray. Trump will win any fight with a male VP, but he cannot handle attacks from women.”
As a political calculation, Warren could help Biden reach out to liberal Democrats who consider him too moderate, and women made uncomfortable by an allegation of sexual assault directed against him by a former aide in his Senate office, which he has denied. A CBS News poll this month found that Warren was the first choice of a plurality of Democrats to be Biden’s running mate.
But there are liabilities in choosing her, not least the crucial battle over control of the Senate. Were Biden to win, and there was no change in state law, Massachusetts’s Republican governor could appoint her temporary successor — presumably also a Republican — costing the Democrats a seat. And Warren would be 74 in 2024, so she’s not an obvious generational successor to Biden, who is 77.
She could also open up the ticket to the charge that it was too far to the left, and out of step with some moderate voters. And the two of them would have to reconcile the differences they expressed in the primary to present a ticket of unity in a general campaign.
Whether their ideological difference matters should they win the White House is hardly clear. It is unlikely that much of Warren’s agenda, such as expanding health insurance to cover all Americans, could win approval in Congress. “She’d probably like him to go further left than he plans to go,” said Barney Frank, the former Democratic congressman from Massachusetts who worked with both of them in Congress. “But he’s not going to be able to go as left as he’d like to go.”
Still, there is resistance to Warren from a number of the party’s most generous donors, especially those in finance industry, who are uneasy about her views.
“She’s smart and talented, but I think putting her on the ticket will alienate anybody in the middle,” said Marc Lasry, a New York-based hedge fund executive who prefers Harris.
As the depth of the economic destruction from the virus becomes clearer, and the scale of the rebuilding ahead grows more sobering, a number of Democrats argued that Warren’s experience and intellect could prove appealing to Biden.
“The more serious the situation becomes and the more monumental our challenge is going to be, the better the argument for a partner who has big ideas and capacity to make things happen,” said Shailagh Murray, a top adviser to Biden when he was vice president.
Biden himself, in a recent interview on Snapchat, seemed to hint at his desire for a formidable lieutenant.
“I’m looking for someone who has strengths that I don’t have as much,” he said. “I’m not afraid to go out and find someone who knows more than I know about a subject.”
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